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Should you invest in auto stocks?
Value Research
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June 17, 2005

The auto sector has always found favour with mutual fund managers and has always been one of their preferred sectors.

Current statistics, however, are disturbing.

In April 2004, diversified equity funds (funds that invest in shares of different companies in different sectors) invested 11.92% of their money in the auto sector. The investment dropped to 7.40% in April 2005 and increased marginally to 7.45% in May 2005.

So if you are bullish on auto stocks, it would be wise to note that the fund managers are anticipating a slowdown in this sector. If you are willing to stay in for the long haul, go for it.

Here are the most preferred auto companies, based on the amount of money that has been invested in them by equity funds. We have also listed the funds that have made the most investments in auto companies.

Who has invested in what?

There are two figures mentioned here.

One is the percentage of the investment in terms of fund's total portfolio (investments).The other is the actual amount invested (Rs 10 million = Rs 1 crore).

Both are relevant up to May 31, 2005.

Maruti Udyog Ltd [Get Quote]

They are one of the most trusted brands in the passenger car segment of the Indian auto industry since 1981 and continue to lead the Indian passenger car market.

Fund

Total investment in this stock

Canequity-Taxsaver

7.22% (Rs 0.47crore)

Franklin India Opportunities

6.55% (Rs 14.22 crore)

 

Cholamandalam Growth

5.95% (Rs 2.09 crore)

Magnum NRI Inv Flexi Asset

5.46% (Rs 0.70 crore)

Tata Motors [Get Quote]

Tata Motors has the dual advantage of being the only auto major with the most comprehensive product portfolio.

It is India's largest commercial vehicle manufacturer and India's second largest producer of passenger vehicles.

Fund

Total investment in this stock

Reliance [Get Quote] NRI Equity

6.86% (Rs 6.50 crore)

Alliance Basic Industries

6.47% (Rs 3.87 crore)

Hero Honda

Hero Honda Motors Ltd [Get Quote] is the largest manufacture of motorcycles in the world. This is one of the fastest growing segments in the two wheeler segment in India.

Fund

Total investment in this stock

Birla Dividend Yield Fund

4.96% (Rs 34.21 crore)

Reliance NRI Equity

4.03% (Rs 3.82 crore)

Franklin India Bluechip Fund

3.67% (Rs 60.83 crore)

Birla MNC

3.56% (Rs 5.75 crore)

Birla Advantage

3.49% (Rs 16.03 crore)

Bajaj Auto [Get Quote]

Bajaj Auto is a key player in the two and three wheeler segment of the market.

Fund

Total investment in this stock

Magnum Equity

8.75% (Rs 12.27 crore)

Magnum Contra

5.68% (Rs 18.41 crore)

Franklin India Flexi Cap

4.85% (Rs 97.63 crore)

Mahindra & Mahindra

M&M is a dominant player in the utility vehicles, tractors and light commercial vehicle segment.

Fund

Total investment in this stock

Magnum Multiplier Plus

8.46% (Rs 29.39 crore)

Magnum Contra

7.49% (Rs 24.30 crore)

HSBC India Opportunities

6.73% (Rs 28.42 crore)

HSBC Equity

6.72% (Rs 99.37 crore)

Principal Focussed Advantage

5.52% (Rs 15.78 crore)

Punjab Tractors [Get Quote]

This leading farm equipment manufacturer has a strong presence in the northern part of the country and is now taking its Swaraj brand of tractors into other parts of the country as well.

Fund

Total investment in this stock

Reliance NRI Equity

7.2% (Rs 6.82 crore)

J M Auto (auto sector fund)

5.26% (Rs 0.8 crore)

HSBC Midcap Equity

4.23% (Rs 15.97 crore)

Kotak Opportunities

2.89% (Rs 1.92 crore)

Principal Equity

2.83% (Rs 2.30 crore)

The future

In the long term, the auto sector looks like a promising investment. The Indian auto sector has shown strong growth in the past and is likely to continue the trend, albeit with slight variations.

However, in the short to medium term, the auto sector looks weak as all major companies are faced with challenges like rising raw material costs, lower margins and intensified competition.

Also, the entire auto sector is set to go on a major capital investment spree. As per certain estimates, auto companies have earmarked a whopping Rs 25,000 crore as investment in new plants and technology over the next five years.

So, while earnings remain subdued in the near term, the long term has great potential.

Value Research

 

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